What was new on START Web site?
June 28, 2000
Russian military and politics continue discussing possible answers to the U.S. national missile defense deployment, and sometime reveal very strange logic. On one hand they propose building a joint ABM defense to Europe, at the same time - threaten to withdraw from the INF Treaty and deploy medium range ballistic missiles (against Europe!) if the United States deploy NMD in spite of numerous concerns of European countries:
Commander of the Strategic Rocket Forces Vladimir Yakovlev on START II and ABM Treaties: A Chess Game With Nuclear Warheads, - in Russian, (by Alexander Babakin, Rossiiskaya Gazeta, June 27, 2000)
- Russia Rejects US Missile Assurance, (by Judith Ingram, Associated Press, Friday, June 23, 2000; 10:15 a.m. EDT)
- Russian Threatens Action Over U.S. Missile Plan, (By Sharon LaFraniere, The Washington Post, June 23, 2000)
- Toughening Russian Position on BMD, (by Andreas Ruesh, - in Russian, Inopressa.Ru, June 23, 2000)
- Russian Modern Antimissile System Successfully Tested, (BBC Monitoring, Russia Today, June 22, 2000)
- ABM Proposal an Old Ploy, (by Pavel Felgenhauer, The Moscow Times, June 22, 2000, p. 9)
- Russia Could Withdraw From Key Arms Treaty if U.S. Violates ABM, (by Agence France Presse, Russia Today, June 22, 2000)
- U.S. Destroying World Security With Its NMD Plans, Says Sergeyev, (by Agence France Presse, Russia Today, June 22, 2000)
- What Answer To Washington, - in Russian, (Dip Courier, June 22, 2000)
- Wait For An Answer. An Asymmetric One, - in Russian, (by Oleg Odnokolenko, Segodnya, June 22, 2000)
- "Pioneer" Can Be Made Of "Topol", - in Russian, (SMI.Ru, June 22, 2000)
As the debate heats up over whether the United States should build a national missile defense, Pentagon is trying to silence an MIT professor Theodore Postol, one of the program's leading critics.
On NMD debates in the U.S. see also:
- Senate May Vote On Requiring More-Stringent Testing Of Proposed Anti-Missile System, (by Pat Towell, Congressional Quarterly Weekly, June 24, 2000, Pg. 1548)
- Critic Accuses Pentagon Of Trying To Silence Him, (by David Abel, The Boston Globe, June 24, 2000)
- NMD Critics Lack Information, BMDO Director Says, (Aerospace Daily, June 23, 2000)
Russia and the United States make further attempts to solve the ABM Treaty problem:
- Shooting From The Ship. The Navy may have the best angle on a national missile defense system, (by Richard J. Newman, U.S. News & World Report, July 3, 2000)
- Politics Mixes With Strategy in Plan for Antimissile System, (by Michael R. Gordon with Steven Lee Myers, The New York Times, June 23, 2000)
- White House Denies - in Russian, (by Dmitri Yuryev, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 23, 2000)
- More Missile Madness, (by Mary McGrory, The Washington Post, June 22, 2000)
- The United States Is Going To Test Its NMD, (by Ivan Safronov, Kommersant, June 22, 2000)
- National Missile Defense Debate, (transcript of the panel held by Carnegie Endowment For Peace, June 20, 2000)
- National Missile Defense Independent Review Team Executive Summary, June 13, 2000
- Missile Defense. Status of the National Missile Defense Program, GAO/NSIAD-00-131, June 2000.
- Dove-like Scream Of "Hawks", - in Russian, (by Georgi Bovt, Izvestiya, June 23, 2000)
- New Russia-U.S. Arms Talks Set for Saturday, (Russia Today, Reuters, June 23, 2000)
- NATO To Meet Russians, Flesh Out Missile Defense Proposal, (by Agence France Presse, Russia Today, June 23, 2000)
Leaders of the C.I.S. countries discussed current situation on strategic stability in the world and signed a joint statement (in Russian) :
- They Talked on BMD..., - in Russian, (by Stepan Grishin, Utro, June 22, 2000)
- A Joint Statement of the leaders of C.I.S. countries on maintaining strategic stability, - in Russian, (Rossiiskaya Gazeta, June 22, 2000 ã.)
- The C.I.S. enters in a fight with BMD, - in Russian, (SMI.Ru, June 21, 2000)
Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov suggested Russian experts should be allowed to work with Norwegians at a controversial U.S.-built radar station in Arctic Norway (Vardo). Norway officials refused to accept Russians.
See also our special section: "Vardo Radar: Unfriendly Gesture Or A Violation Of the ABM Treaty?" - in Russian
- Igor Ivanov in Bergen, - in Russian, (by Pyotr Chernyakov, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 23, 2000)
- Russia Wants to Work at Norway Radar Station, (by Reuters, Russia Today, June 22, 2000)
Denmark will effectively abolish the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) treaty of 1972 if it allows a U.S. upgrade of its Thule radar station in northern Greenland, the Russian foreign ministry warned Friday.
May and June, 2000 issues of the Arms Control Today magazine are now available on-line. Publications include:
- Russia Warns Denmark Not to Destroy ABM Treaty, (by Reuters, Russia Today, 25 June 2000)
- A Statement of the Russian Foreign Ministry on Modernization of the Early Warning Radar in Thule (Greenland), - in Russian, June 23, 2000.
- A World Without Arms Control, (by Spurgeon M. Keeny, Jr.)
- NMD Test Delayed Until July; Review to Start in June, (by Wade Boese)
- Bush Outlines Arms Control And Missile Defense Plans, (by Wade Boese)
- Joint Chiefs of Staff 'Uncomfortable' With Start III Reductions Below 2,000-2,5000 (by Phillip C. Bleek)
- Russia Approves Topol-M; Warns Missile Could Defeat U.S. Defense, (by Phillip C. Bleek)
- U.S. and Soviet / Russian Strategic Nuclear Forces, - START I MOU data of January, 2000
- NMD Double-Talk, (by Spurgeon M. Keeny, Jr.)
- Implications of the Duma's Approval of START II, (a transcript of the panel with Spurgeon M. Keeny, Jr., president and executive director of the Arms Control Association; Jack Mendelsohn, vice president and executive director of the Lawyers Alliance for World Security; Ambassador Thomas Graham, Jr., president of the Lawyers Alliance for World Security; and Daryl Kimball, executive director of the Coalition to Reduce Nuclear Dangers).
- Russia Ratifies START II, Extension Protocol; ABM-Related Agreements Also Approved, (by Philipp C. Bleek)
- Leaked Documents Detail U.S. ABM Strategy; GOP Says Limited NMD Plans Are Not Enough, (by Wade Boese)
According to Russian press, relations between Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev and Chief of General Staff Anatoly Kvashnin become more and more complex. They are known to have entirely opposite views on the role of Strategic Rocket Forces and expediency of integration of Russian Strategic Forces under a unified command:
- Putin and Generals: Never Mix Friendship and Business, - in Russian, (by Dmitri Petrov, SMI.Ru, June 26, 2000)
- "Rocketeers" Only Will Survive, - in Russian, (by Oleg Odnokolenko, Segodnya, June 26, 2000)
- General Staff Presses On the Ministry Of Defense, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Tyomnyy, Vesti.Ru, June 23, 2000)
- Transcript of the Mikhail Leotyev's TV show "Odnako", June 21, 2000.
Russian Air Force modernizes its strategic, long range bombers, and develops conventional long range cruise missiles (Strategic Planes Will Become Multi Functional, - in Russian, by Alevtina Volkova and Sergei Grigoryev, Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, June 23, 2000)
Materials of the Conference Helping Russia Down-Size Its Nuclear-Weapons Complex, sponsored by Princeton University's Research Program on Nuclear Policy Alternatives at the Center for Energy & Environmental Studies, Princeton Environmental Institute (March 14-15, 2000) are now available on-line.
The latest Russian deal on highly enriched uranium has raised concerns about bringing in new Russian production at the same time USEC is putting people out of work.
State Duma member Vladimir Klimov announced at the "Nuclear Society" meeting recently, that the Duma is ready to change the environmental law, which currently forbids import of radioactive materials from other countries (Import Or Not? The Problem On Reprocessing of Foreign Radioactive Wastes in Russia Is Again On the Table, - in Russian, by Denis Prokopenko, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 23, 2000)
- USEC Under Fire for Plan to Close Uranium Plant, (by Dana Hedgpeth, The Washington Post, Thursday, June 22, 2000; Page A15)
- Clinton Clears Uranium Shipments, (by Associated Press, Thursday, June 22, 2000; 7:17 p.m. EDT)
- USEC's Proposed Uranium Deal With Russia Divides White House, (by John J. Fialka, The Wall Street Journal, June 21, 2000)
An accord signed at the US-Russian summit here this month to destroy 68 tons of weapons-grade plutonium, enough to make thousands of nuclear warheads, could have catastrophic consequences, Russian experts warned Monday. See also the press-release of the SEU (in Russian)
- U.S.-Russian Plutonium Accord Could Mean Catastrophe, Say Russian Experts, (by Agence France Presse, Russia Today, June 26, 2000)
- Putin - Clinton Summit Meeting: A Controversial Plutonium Agreement Is Planned To Be Signed, - in Russian, (National press institute, June 1, 2000, 12:00)
Experts analyze prospects for U.S.-Russian relations: The First Meeting of Clinton With Putin: A False START, - in Russian, (by Alan Russo, a presentation at the press-conference in the National Press Institute, June 1, 2000, 12:00)
Today at the Russian START Forum: on world wide nuclear arsenals, Bush arms reduction proposals, possible deployment of light ICBMs, options to modify ABM Treaty and other issues.
June 21, 2000
A high-level meeting between the United States and Russia on arms control ended Tuesday with no immediate comment other than that the talks were open and constructive. U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Strobe Talbott and his Russian counterpart Georgy Mamedov held closed-door talks in the Norwegian capital on Monday and Tuesday:
- Secret Negotiations Were Held in Oslo, -in Russian, (by Trofim Lobachyov, Gazeta.Ru, June 21, 2000)
- Russia Says Progress in U.S. Missile Talks in Oslo, (by Reuters, Russia Today, June 21, 2000)
- US, Russia Discuss Missile Treaties, (by The Associated Press, Tuesday, June 20, 2000; 9:41 a.m. EDT)
- US, Russia Hold Nuclear Arms Talks, (The Associated Press, June 19, 2000)
Russian Defense Minister Igor Sergeyev: "...Analyzing general directions of research in the United States on creating military information and control systems, we consider NMD deployment as only a first step toward appearence of a multi functional global fighting system that would be capable to deal with all types of ballistic, aerodynamic, space and, in more distant future, sea and land based targets. Such a comprehensive defense system is going to be directed first of all against deterrence potential of the Russian Federation and People's Republic Of China. There is no doubt about that for the experts of the Russian Defense Ministry..." (U.S. NMD Deployment Will Destroy The Basis For Strategic Stability in the World, in Russian, by Vitali Tret'yakov, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 22, 2000)
During his visit to Germany that ended on Friday, Russian President Vladimir Putin outlined a vision of a pan-European defense shield against incoming missiles and insisted that, despite U.S. doubts, his plan was technologically possible. Putin also proposed that Europe join the United States and Russia in creating an early warning center in Moscow that would monitor missile launches around the world.
Russian Foreign Minister Igor Ivanov proposed, that C.I.S. countries would support Russian initiatives on a joint missile defense with Europe, but there was almost no reaction (A Failure To Push Through, - in Russian, (by Oleg Odnokolenko, Segodnia, June 20, 2000).
- A Warning From Putin and Schroder, (by Josef Joffe, The New York Times, June 20, 2000)
- Schroeder and Putin Call for Europe and Russia to Cooperate on Security, (Russia Today, Agence France Presse, June 19, 2000)
- Germany, Allies To Ponder Putin ABM Plan Says Adviser, (Russia Today, June 18, 2000)
- European Security Is Moscow's Priority, - in Russian, (by Dmitri Gornostayev, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 17, 2000)
- Putin Urges Joint Missile-Warning Center, (By William Drozdiak, The Washington Post, June 17, 2000)
- Putin invites European countries to Russian-U.S. early warning missile launch center, (Russia Today, Interfax, June 16, 2000)
- Putin Urges Using Russia for Defense of Europe, (by Roger Cohen, The New York Times, June 16, 2000)
- Negotiations On A Wide List Of Topics, - in Russian, (by Dmitri Gornostayev, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 16, 2000, p. 1)
- A Grand NMD Game: The Challenge Of New Russian Initiatives, (By Nikolai Sokov, Center for Nonproliferation Studies, June 15, 2000)
Administration lawyers have advised President Clinton that, in their view, he could begin building the first piece of a national missile defense system without violating a 1972 arms control treaty with Russia. The lawyers' interpretations of procedures governing replacement, dismantling or destruction, and notification thereof, for ABM systems and their components offer Mr. Clinton a way to announce that the United States would go ahead with missile defenses while letting the next administration decide whether to break the Antiballistic Missile Treaty. Most likely current administration will approve beginning of construction for the NMD deployment, but avoid making final decisions on withdrawal from the ABM Treaty.
The remarkable summit meeting between the Korean leaders last week has left the Clinton administration widely divided over North Korea's intentions, but has not so far diminished its resolve to move ahead with a missile defense:
- Clinton Seeks to Avoid Acting on Missile Defense System, (by Stephen Lee Myers and Eric Schmitt, The New York Times, June 21, 2000)
- Arms-Control Landmark In Legal Cross-Hairs, (by Justin Brown, The Christian Science Monitor, June 21, 2000, Pg. 2)
- Pouring Concrete - Is This A NMD Or Not? - in Russian, (by Vladimir Kozlovskii, BBC Russian Service, June 16, 2000)
- The U.S. Begins A Missile Incomplete Construction, - in Russian, (by Vasilii Sergeyev, Gazeta.Ru, June 16, 2000)
- National Missile Defense System Is Going To Be A Long Lasting Construction, (by Boris Volkhonskii, Kommersant, June 16, 2000)
- Joint Missile Defense Meeting Likely, (by Roberto Suro, The Washington Post, Friday, June 16, 2000; Page A26)
- Clinton's New,'Broad Interpretation' of A.B. M. Treaty Designed to Protect Al Gore, Not the American People, (The Center For Security Policy, June 15, 2000)
- Clinton Set Lawyers Against Putin, - in Russian, (APN, June 15, 2000)
- Clinton Lawyers Give a Go-Ahead to Missile Shield, (by Eric Schmitt and Steven Lee Myers, The New York Times, June 15, 2000)
See also: Theater Missile Defense in Northeast Asia, (Center for Nonproliferation Studies, June 14, 2000)
- Korea Accord Fails to Stall Missile Plan, (by Steven Lee Myers and Eric Schmitt, The New York Times, June 18, 2000)
- «STAR Wars»: To Be Continued…, - in Russian, (by Yelena Zanina, N.E.P., June 16, 2000)
A classified report by a Pentagon-appointed panel, headed by Larry Welch, a retired four-star general and former Air Force chief of staff, raises numerous warning flags about the current plan for a missile defense shield, citing problems with the booster rocket for interceptor missiles, doubts about whether the interceptor can distinguish an enemy missile from decoys, and concern that the timetable for constructing a working system in five years is unrealistic. The General Accounting Office, in a new report also concluded that it will be difficult to know whether the missile shield will function properly during an attack because of strict limitations on the Pentagon's ability to test the system of powerful targeting radars, interceptor missiles and high-speed computers.
- Test May Not Halt Missile Shield, (by Thomas E. Ricks, The Washington Post, Wednesday, June 21, 2000; Page A08)
- There Is A Sceptic For Every Optimist, - in Russian, (by Georgi Il'yin, Izvestiya, June 20, 2000)
- DOD: Review Of Missile Defense Plan Encouraging, (by Robert Burns, European Stars and Stripes, June 20, 2000, Pg. 3)
- Tortured Ideas on Missile Defense, (The New York Times, June 19, 2000)
- More Doubts Are Raised on Missile Shield, (by Roberto Suro and Thomas E. Ricks, The Washington Post, Sunday, June 18, 2000; Page A01)
- GAO Report Finds Fault With Missile Shield Plan, (by Roberto Suro and Steven Mufson, The Washington Post, Saturday, June 17, 2000; Page A07)
- America's Newspaper Editors Continue to Question Clinton's "Indefensible Missile System", (Coalition to Reduce Nuclear Danger, June 14, 2000)
On U.S. public reaction on Prof. Postol's letter to John Podesta, the White House chief of staff, see in: Pentagon's Plaster Casts, - in Russian, (by Alexander Yanov, Moskovskiye Novosti, N 23 (1041), June 13 - 19, 2000).
Germany decided to give up its nuclear energy..., but in 20 years.
Nuclear power plant in Rostov may be put in operation this October in spite of numerous protests of environmentalists (It Is Being Built Anyway,... by Maxim Fyodorov, Novyye Izvestiya, June 16, 2000, p. 1,7)
- Germany's Pledge to Close Nuclear Plants: That's Green Power, (by Roger Cohen, The New York Times, June 16, 2000)
- Germany Is Going To Close All Nuclear Power Plants, (by Yuri Chubchenko, Kommersant, June 16, 2000)
- Germany Abandons Its Peaceful Atom, (by Yuri Kovalenko, Novyye Izvestiya, June 16, 2000, p. 7)
June 15, 2000
"Russia proposed working with Europe and NATO to create an anti-rocket defense system for Europe," Russian President Putin told reporters a week ago during his visit to Italy. Putin's proposal became a total surprise and created much speculations. Chinese foreign ministry made clear, that China would not support the proposal. European countries were also doubtful about the Russian seriousness. During visits of defense ministers Sergeyev and Cohen to Brussels and Moscow respectively, plans of Moscow became a bit clearer. According to Cohen, "...the Russians claim they have a new system under development that focuses on intercepting missiles in the boost phase..." However, the Pentagon says that the Russian plan is, at best a supplement for the American system, not a substitute:
The Russian initiative gives a cause to remember proposals by Richard Garwin and Theodore Postol on a Russian-US Boost-Phase Defense Against Rogue State ICBMs, made in October, 1999.
- Russian Officials Flesh Out Alternative Antimissile Proposal, (by Michael R.Gordon, The New York Times, June 14, 2000)
- There Is No A Way Back, - in Russian, (by Oleg Odnokolenko, Segodnia, June 14, 2000)
- NATO Does Not Need Putin's Umbrella, - in Russian, (by Nikolay Porfiryev, Deadline.ru, June 13, 2000 ã.)
- Sergeyev and Cohen Signed A Program On Mutual Cooperation, - in Russian, (by Igor Korotchenko, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 14, 2000)
- Russia Wants Political Shield, (by Daniel Williams, The Washington Post, June 14, 2000)
- Clinton May Not Get Arms Deal, (by Tom Raum, The Associated Press, June 14, 2000)
- Russian Hints On "Boost Phase" Missile Defense Piques U.S. Interest, (Russia Today, June 14, 2000)
- U.S., Russians Disagree on ABM, (by Vladimir Isachenkov, The Associated Press, June 13, 2000)
- Cohen Arrives In Moscow To Negotiate ABM Treaty, - in Russian, (by Andry Jack, Inopressa.Ru, June 13, 2000)
- BMD: The Joint Umbrella Has Not Opened Yet, - in Russian, (SMI.Ru, June 13, 2000)
- Putin Seeks Allies in Quest to Fight U.S. Missile Plan, (by Michael R. Gordon, The New York Times, June 11, 2000)
- Russian and U.S. BMD Systems Are Compatible, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Yermolin, Izvestiya, June 9, 2000)
- Andrey Piontkovskii: Many Russian and American Politicians Need a Medical Treatment, - in Russian, (by Viktor Bezborodov, SMI.Ru, June 9, 2000)
- U.S. Cautions NATO Allies on Russian Missile Defense Proposal, (by William Drozdiak, The Washington Post, Friday, June 9, 2000; Page A29)
- A Step Forward Or A Show Without Sensations, - in Russian, (by Stanislav Menshikov, Slovo, June 7, 2000)
- Putin Proposed A Joint European Ballistic Missile Defense, - in Russian, (by Marina Volkova and Sergei Startsev, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 7, 2000)
- Antimissile Umbrella Is On Sale, - in Russian, (by Oleg Odnokolenko, Segodnia, June 7, 2000)
- Putin Goes to Rome to Promote Russian Arms Control Alternative, (by Alessandra Stanley, The New York Times, June 6, 2000)
Administration lawyers have advised President Clinton that, in their view, he could begin building the first piece of a national missile defense system without violating a 1972 arms control treaty with Russia, (Clinton Lawyers Give a Go-Ahead to Missile Shield, by Eric Schmitt and Steven Lee Myers, The New York Times, June 15, 2000)
Experts continue discussing the results of the June summit meeting. "...Neither side was ready for what we would call real accomplishment..." - said Pavel Podvig, an expert of our Center in an interview to The Washington Post. "...To begin with, the United States wasn't really serious about this 'grand bargain' type of thing..." Clinton's answer to the question about 1,500 warheads "...shows that the United States wasn't really interested....Russia wasn't too pushy....We didn't really play this card. Russia wasn't sending all those signals about being really interested in deeper cuts -- 1,500 warheads or something like that..." (As Arms Cuts Stall, U.S., Russia Are At A Crossroads, by David Hoffman, The Washington Post, June 6, 2000, p. 1). See also:
- Summit Meeting Is Over. The Main Problem Has Not Been Solved, - in Russian, (by Dmitri Rogozin, Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, June 9, 2000)
- New Reykjavik?, - in Russian, (by Pavel Felgenhauer, Moskovskiye Novosti, June 8, 2000)
- News From..., - in Russian, (by Ivan Golunov, Novaya Gazeta, June 8, 2000)
- Editorial Trifecta on Clinton's Mishandling of Missile Defense, (Center for Security Policy, June 7, 2000)
- The Problems Have Not Been Solved, - in Russian, (by Vitali Gan, Slovo, June 7, 2000)
- Closer To Washington, Further From Beijing? - in Russian, (by Sergei Sokut, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 7, 2000)
- "The Cornerstone Of Peace" Is Cut Up, - in Russian, (by Trofim Lobachyov, Gazeta.Ru, June 7, 2000)
- Ambitions Against Ammunition, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Abarinov, Vesti, June 6, 2000)
- As Expected, The Success Of the Meeting Of Putin With Clinton Was Symbolic, - in Russian, (by Dmitry Gornostayev, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 6, 2000)
- A Ballistic Scandal, - in Russian, (by Alexander Yanov, Moskovskiye Novosti, N 22 (1040), June 6 - 12, 2000)
- We Write "Clinton" And Keep In Mind "Bush", - in Russian, (by Alexander Golts, Itogi, June 5, 2000)
President Vladimir V. Putin plans to visit North Korea next month, a move that underscores his active foreign policy and seems calculated to counter the Clinton administration's plan for a national missile defense.
- N.Korea, Russian Officials Meet, (by The Associated Press, Saturday, June 10, 2000; 5:54 p.m. EDT)
- Putin to Visit North Korea; U.S. ABM Plan May Be Target, (by Michael R.Gordon, The New York Times, June 9, 2000)
The scandal on Vardo radar took a further development. Finally the Norwegian intelligence agency admitted that there was a missile defense connection.
See also our new special section "Vardo Radar: Unfriendly Gesture Or A Violation Of the ABM Treaty?" - in Russian
- The US kept silent about ABM Treaty problem, (by Inge Sellevag, Bergens Tidende, June 7, 2000)
- The Norwegian intelligence agency confirms: Hard fight about the Vardo radar, (by Inge Sellevag, Bergens Tidende, June 6, 2000)
- How A Storm Spread A Cold War Chill, (The Wall Street Journal, June 6, 2000)
Sen. Thad Cochran, Mississippi Republican and a leading proponent of missile defenses, stated that Mr. Postol is engaged in a "campaign against missile defenses" that involved posting sensitive details about U.S. missile defenses on the Internet that will help nations seeking to defeat the system.
Problems in development of the kinetic kill warhead for the U.S. Navy Theater Wide (NTW) missile defense project are threatening to upend the program’s schedule and could increase costs. The central problem — poor performance of materials — is found in a key component of the NTW that maneuvers the warhead within striking distance of its target
- Dumbed Down Defense, (Bangor Daily News, June 13, 2000)
- The missile plan skeptic MIT physicist fights anew, (by David Abel, Boston Globe, June 12, 2000)
- Scientists To Tell Congress Clinton Antimissile System Plan Is Faulty, (by Neil King Jr., Wall Street Journal, June 12, 2000)
- A New Course For Missile Defense, (Chicago Tribune, June 11, 2000)
- Senator Slams Scientist For Claiming Pentagon Cheated, (by Bill Gertz, The Washington Times, June 10, 2000)
- Antimissile Testing Is Rigged to Hide a Flaw, Critics Say, (by William J. Broad, The New York Times, June 9, 2000)
- A Shot in the Dark, (by John Barry and Evan Thomas, Newsweek, June 12, 2000)
- Warhead Glitch Threatens NTW Schedule, (by Robert Holzer, Defense News, June 19, 2000, p. 1)
- Software Problem Delays Navy Area Flight At White Sands, (by Kerry Gildea, Defense Daily, June 15, 2000, p.2)
An antimissile laser destroyed an armed Katyusha rocket in flight during a test in New Mexico last week. The development moves the laser a step closer to possible deployment along Israel's border with Lebanon (Laser Built for Israel Shoots Down Missile in Successful Test, by James Glanz, The New York Times, June 8, 2000).
Discussion on expediency and timing of U.S. NMD deployment goes on:
With $60 billion in potential business from an antimissile defense system, it would seem that the nation's military contractors would be using their well-honed lobbying skills to push hard in the corridors of power here. Instead, they are strangely invisible (After High-Pressure Years, Contractors Tone Down Missile Defense Lobbying, by Leslie Wayne, The New York Times, June 13, 2000).
- Defeating ABMs Not Hard To Do, (by Jonathan A. Bagger, Baltimore Sun, June 15, 2000)
- Group Urges President To Bar Missile Defense, (The Washington Post, Tuesday, June 13, 2000; Page A04)
- Will, Krauthammer Make Case For Missile Defense, (Center for Security Policy, June 13, 2000)
- Scientists to Congress: Base NMD Decision on Science, Not Politics, (Coalition to Reduce Nuclear Danger, Union of Concerned Scientists, June 12, 2000)
- SDI Redux, (by Edwin Meese III and Emily Stimpson, The Washington Times, June 12, 2000)
- A LOOK AT . . . Missile Defense, (The Washington Post, June 11, 2000)
Two computer hard drives that contained nuclear weapons secrets have been missing for more than a month from a suitcase stored in a vault at Los Alamos National Laboratory in New Mexico.
- Data on Weapons Reported Missing From Los Alamos, (by James Risen, The New York Times, June 13, 2000)
- Los Alamos Missing Secret Arms Data, (by Walter Pincus, The Washington Post, Tuesday, June 13, 2000; Page A01)
- Nuclear secrets missing at Los Alamos lab, (by Jerry Seper, The Washington Times, June 13, 2000)
The Republican-led Senate voted to prohibit President Clinton from making deep unilateral cuts in the nation's nuclear arsenal – but to ease the prohibition for the next president. The Senate went along with a proposal by Senate Armed Services Committee Chairman John Warner, R-Va., to allow the president to make warhead cuts – but only after a Pentagon review every four years (Nuke Cuts OKd for Next President, by Tom Raum, The Associated Press, June 7, 2000).
For the first time in an unclassified forum in the U.S. Congress, a lawmaker last week disclosed the breakdown of targets in Russia for the United States’ strategic nuclear weapons. In an impassioned floor speech advocating the reduction of the U.S. strategic arsenal, Sen. Robert Kerrey (D-Neb.), vice chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, said U.S. forces are aiming at 2,260 "vital Russian targets"—1,100 Russian nuclear weapons sites, 500 conventional arms sites, 500 war-support industries and 160 leadership targets. The number of targets in Russia and elsewhere in the U.S. Single Integrated Operational Plan (SIOP) has grown from 2,500 in 1995 to 3,000 this year—a 20 percent increase since START II was signed in 1993, according to Bruce Blair, director of the Center for Defense Information
The Senate has paved the way for the Energy Department's nuclear weapons laboratories to aid Pentagon research into a new low-yield nuclear weapon that could destroy hardened and deeply buried targets by penetrating far into the ground before exploding (Senate Bill Requires Study Of New Nuclear Weapon, by Walter Pincus, The Washington Post, June 12, 2000, p. 2).
- Senator Confirms Secret U.S. Nuclear Targeting Plans, (by John M. Donnelly, Defense Week, June 12, 2000, Pg. 1)
- Trapped in the Nuclear Math, (by Bruce G. Blair, The New York Times, June 12, 2000)
Russia's Defense Ministry and military industry have produced the first public encyclopedia on its strategic nuclear arsenal "Russia's Arms and Technologies: The XXI Century Encyclopedia," that provides unprecedented details about Moscow's weapons systems. The highly detailed information contained in the book on Russian missiles has raised questions among some U.S. national security officials and experts that Moscow is preparing to put its nuclear warhead and missile know-how up for sale (Russia Publishes Nuclear Arms Book, by Bill Gertz, The Washington Times, June 12, 2000).
June 5, 2000
Telling Russians they need not fear American missile defense efforts, President Clinton went to the Russian Duma with his message of support for strengthening democratic rule and the nation's economy
- Clinton: U.S., Russia Should Ally, (by Walter R. Mears, The Associated Press, Monday, June 5, 2000; 12:59 p.m. EDT)
- Text of Clinton Speech in Russia, (The Associated Press, Monday, June 5, 2000; 8:46 a.m. EDT)
- Clinton Goes To Kiev, and Putin - to Rome, - in Russian, (Utro.Ru, June 5, 2000)
At a Kremlin news conference that concluded a two-day summit meeting, Clinton said he and Putin had agreed on a joint statement that "makes clear that there is an emerging ballistic missile threat that must be addressed, but we have not agreed on how best to do so." As planned, the two leaders signed agreements establishing a permanent joint early-warning center in Moscow to prevent miscalculations about missile launches (in Russian), and to reduce their stockpiles of military-grade plutonium by 34 tons each. See also the transcript of Clinton's interview to "Ekho Moskvy" (in Russian) and comments of the press:
In an interview Thursday night in advance of President Clinton's arrival in Moscow Saturday, Putin seemed to be shifting toward a more conciliatory approach after months of holding firm against U.S. plans to build a limited missile defense system. "Such mechanisms are possible," Putin said of a joint missile defense effort, "if we unite our efforts and direct them at neutralizing those threats which may be aimed against the U.S. or Russia, or which may be aimed against our allies or Europe. We have such proposals. And we intend to discuss them with President Clinton." Several experts speculated that Putin was talking about joint activity in short-range, nonstrategic missile defenses, which are far different from the plan now igniting debate in the United States. "...In reality, this would be the creation of a nonstrategic ABM system,..." said Pavel Podvig, an arms control specialist with our Center, in an interview with NTV television. "...This idea already has been voiced by the Foreign Ministry and other official representatives of Russia. As for the validity of this idea, it's not very realistic. The United States today does not seem to have a single reason enabling them to be ready or willing or interested to cooperate with Russia..." (Putin Suggests He May Accept a Missile Defense System, by David Hoffman, The Washington Post, Saturday, June 3, 2000; Page A13). See also:
- Sense of Urgency for Clinton on Arms Issue, (by Michael R.Gordon, The New York Times, June 5, 2000)
- ABM Issue Unresolved as Summit Ends, (by David Hoffman and Charles Babington, The Washington Post, Monday, June 5, 2000; Page A01)
- The Main Thing Is Stability and the Weather, - in Russian, (by Pyotr Ivanov, Gazeta.Ru, June 5, 2000)
- Russia, Which Clinton Lost, - in Russian, (by Natalya Kalashnikova and Valeriya Sychova, Segodnia, June 5, 2000)
- Russia And America: Bhai, Bhai! - in Russian, (by Alexander Budberg, Moskovski Komsomolets, June 5, 2000)
- Mistake in Moscow, (by William Safire, The New York Times, June 5, 2000)
- Putin stands ground against missile shield, (by Andrew Cain, The Washington Times, June 5, 2000)
- Putin: 'We've Established Now . . . Personal Relations', (The Washington Post, Monday, June 5, 2000; Page A11)
- President Clinton's Interview to Ekho Moskvy radio station, - in Russian, Moscow, June 4, 19:50-20:35
- Full Text of Clinton, Putin Press Conference, (Sunday, June 4, 2000; 2:53 PM)
- Clinton, Putin Seek Common Ground, (by Tom Raum, Associated Press, Sunday, June 4, 2000; 9:49 p.m. EDT)
- Analysis of US-Russia Missile Debate An AP News Analysis, (by Barry Schweid, Associated Press, Sunday, June 4, 2000; 3:58 p.m. EDT)
- Joint statement on principles of strategic stability, June 4, 2000.
- Memorandum on establishing a permanent joint early-warning center in Moscow, June 4, 2000.
- Results of U.S-Russia Summit, (by Associated Press, Sunday, June 4, 2000; 1:18 p.m. EDT)
Putin's suggestion gives a cause to remind the idea to deploy a Russian-US boost-phase defense against rogue state ICBMs. See also: A Joint Missile Defense, (by Paul M. Weyrich and Edward Lozansky, The Washington Times, June 2, 2000).
- Andrey Kokoshin: "If the United States Create Their Own Missile Defense System, Iran and Korea Will Answer", - in Russian (by Fransua Bonne, Inopressa.Ru, June 5, 2000)
- "Thunder in A Theater", - in Russian, (by Gisbert Mrozek, Inopressa.Ru, June 5, 2000)
- Putin Offers Alternative Antimissile Plan, (by Michael R Gordon, The New York Times, June 3, 2000)
- Berlin In Fact Supported Moscow in Its Discussion with Washington, - in Russian, (by Dmitri Gornostayev and Vladimir Mukhin, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, June 3, 2000)
- A Prick With A Nuclear Umbrella, - in Russian, (by Oleg Odnokolenko, Segodnia, June 3, 2000)
- Humanitarian Weapon - In the XXI-st Century, - in Russian, (by Oleg Odnokolenko, Segodnia, June 3, 2000) - an interview with General Alexander Piskunov, Deputy Chair of the "Russian Regions" faction in the Russian parliament
- There Is A Wish To Make A Deal, But No Possibility,- in Russian, (by Valeria Sychyova, Segodnia, June 3, 2000) Summit Of Lesser Accords Looming, (by Steven Mufson, The Washington Post, Friday, June 2, 2000; Page A01)
- Russian Season in the United States, (by Arthur Akopov, Vek, June 2, 2000 ã.) - an interview with Sergei Karaganov, Deputy Director of the Institute of Europe
- Putin May Be Flexible on Missiles, (by Barry Schweid, Saturday, Associated Press, June 3, 2000; 2:12 p.m. EDT)
- Are U.S. and Russia Going To Build A BMD System Together?,- in Russian, (SMI.Ru, June 2, 2000)
- Experts on U.S.- Russian Talks at he Summit Meeting,- in Russian, (Vesti.Ru, June 2, 2000)
Arms control experts mentioned problems and made their forecasts prior to the summit meeting:
- Troubling the Waters of Nuclear Deterrence, (by Michael Oreskes, The New York Times, June 4, 2000)
- A Dangerous Summit, (by Caspar W. Weinberger, Wall Street Journal, June 2, 2000)
- Russia and the U.S. Should Keep No More Than 300 Warheads Each,- in Russian, (by Valeri Alexin, Nezavisimoye Voyennoye Obozreniye, June 2, 2000) - an interview with Adam Rotfeld, Director of SIPRI.
- In Between Restrained Optimism And Doubts,- in Russian, (by Nikolay Zimin, Valeriya Sychova and Avtandil Suladze, Segodnia,, June 2, 2000)
- PIR Center Experts on Putin - Clinton Summit Meeting, - in Russian, (by Mikhail Antokhin, SMI.Ru, June 1, 2000)
- A Warhead Pane, (by Viktor Litovkin, Obschaya Gazeta, June 1, 2000)
- Remarks of Alexei G. Arbatov, Deputy Chair, Defense Committee, State Duma of Russian Federation, Carnegie Moscow Center-sponsored seminar on START-ABM Treaties, 24 May 2000.
Two of Texas Gov. George W. Bush's arms control proposals are not just controversial but would violate existing law put in place by his own party:
- The Poseurs of Missile Defense, (by France Fitzgerald, The New York Times, June 4, 2000)
- Bush Nuclear Plans Could Face Hurdle, (by Walter Pincus, The Washington Post, Sunday, June 4, 2000; Page A01)
- ABCs Of ABM And Missile Defense, (by Graham T. Allison, Christian Science Monitor, May 31, 2000)
"...Currently, Russia is totally blind to a Trident attack from the Atlantic and Pacific, and, for all practical purposes, it is equally blind to a Minuteman or MX [missile] attack from the continental United States,..." concluded three specialists, writing recently in Spectrum, the bulletin of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers: False alarm, nuclear danger, (by Geoffrey Forden, Pavel Podvig and Theodore A. Postol, IEEE Spectrum, March 2000, V37, Number 3.) See also:
See also our special section Current Status of Russian Early Warning System.
- Clinton Wants To Share Secrets With Putin, - in Russian, (by Sergei Guly, Novyye Izvestia, June 2, 2000, p.3)
- Russia Improves Its Antimissile Defense System, - in Russian, (by Keno Versek, Inopressa.Ru, June 2, 2000)
- 'Blind Spots' Fuel Russian Fears of U.S. Shield, (by David Hoffman, The Washington Post, Thursday, June 1, 2000; Page A01)
- A Glare, Burning America To Ashes, - in Russian, (by Vladimir Tyomny, Vesti.Ru, May 31, 2000)
Experts continue discussing the new Russian military doctrine: Nuclear Umbrella Full Of Holes, - in Russian, (by Andrey Piontkovskii and Vitali Tsygichko, Segodnia, May 31, 2000)
In the May issue of Obozrevatel-Observer:
- Nuclear Forces And The Russian Security In the XXI-st Century, - in Russian, (by L. Volkov, Lieutenant-General, Ret.)
- ABM Treaty Problem Must Be Solved, - in Russian, (by V. Medvedev, Lieutenant-General, Ret.)
- Does Russia Need START II Treaty?, - in Russian, (by Yu. Vetrov, Rear Adm., Ret.)
President Vladimir Putin has put the final touch to Russia's acceptance of the global nuclear test ban treaty, signing the law passed by parliament last month - in Russian, (Russia's Putin Signs Test Ban Treaty Law, by Reuters, Russia Today, May 29, 2000)
Yevgeni Adamov managed to keep the post of Minister of Atomic Energy. This means, his policy suits to the new president:
- No Change At the Nuclear Front, - in Russian, (by Roman Khrapachevski, Izvestiya, June 1, 2000, p. 5)
- Russia Envisions Atomic Reactors. Freeing Up Oil for Foreign Export, (by Jeanne Whalen, Wall Street Journal, May 29, 2000).
Russia has proposed selling extra commercial-grade uranium to a U.S. company, but lawmakers want the Clinton administration to reject the deal, contending it could lead American uranium plants to close (Lawmakers Fear Russian Uranium, by Katherine Rizzo, Associated Press, Wednesday, May 31, 2000; 7:10 p.m. EDT).
"...The shutdown is only the beginning of a new chapter in the life of the ill-fated power station, whose radioactive wastes and debris must be guarded for decades, if not centuries, to prevent them from further poisoning the environment..." (Living in the Shadow of Chernobyl's Reactors, by Patrick E. Tyler, The New York Times, June 4, 2000).
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